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Posts Tagged ‘2010 election’

After neglecting DraftAlex.com for long enough, we’re making our triumphant return. And, let me say, it’s been a crazy few months. On the Senate front alone: Boyd is out, Meek and Gelber are in. Alex Sink is running for re-election as CFO, deciding to forgo this cycle.

But, is it over? Of course not, people. This is Florida after all.

Mr. Crist has decided he might possibly maybe like to think about potentially running for Senate, just to keep things interesting. That means that Marco Rubio and Connie Mack might need to find a new hobby instead of imagining themselves in the Senate.  I’ll leave my rant about him skipping out on our state in a time of need for later and just say this:

If Charlie does decide to make a run for it (right out of Florida, errr I mean for the Senate), please Alex, give a second thought about governor. Florida needs a smart lady like you.

Oh and formally, welcome back kids.

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Yesterday at a breakfast meeting with reporters Alex Sink told the St. Pete Times and Miami Herald:

I’m going to make up my mind very soon,” Sink said. “It’s all about what’s best for me, and what’s best for the state.

alexcampaigning1This led to some healthy discussion about what she should run for at Swing State Project – of course we were there. Go and make your opinion heard as well — it’s a great blog.

But it also led to this Miami New Times to say she is seeking the Senate instead. Like a bad slumber party flashback the game of telephone on Alex’s quote is quite funny.

Don’t get us wrong, were happy for more recognition of the Draft Alex Sink movement online and offline – but lets get the story right – Alex hasn’t decided what she will do yet and it include a lot of options.

We have no idea what she’ll decide to do – but we wish her and her family the best over the holidays and with making this important decision. DraftAlex has our opinions, but we will support her no matter what she decides to do.

One more thing – with all the coverage of her impending decision everyone missed the best quote of this Buzz post:

The cratering of the construction and credit markets is all the more reason why Florida must continue to diversify its economic base, she said, and end its reliance on real estate. She cited the wildly overbuilt Fort Myers, now one of the foreclosure capitals of the world. “There’s nothing else there, except for Chico’s,” she said

Though we bet that Charlie has no idea what Chico’s is, does Carole Rome?

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n689468099_962883_7922It’s pretty obvious that people are hoping that Alex Sink tosses her hat in the ring or higher office. The question we hope she’s facing right now is which one: Senate or Guvna?

There are perhaps a few too many calls for Alex Sink to be our Senate nominee.  This morning, Blast Off! even called for her to run for Senate and forget about the governor’s mansion.

Here at Draft Alex Sink for Governor the bias is pretty obvious. But, think for a second about why running for Senate wouldn’t be as good as a move.

First, just in terms of personality and experience, Alex is perfectly suited to be governor. She’s been an executive- and that’s what a governor theoretically does (just don’t look to Charlie for an example). Dan Gelber, Bob Wexler, Allen Boyd- these men are legislators- damn good ones, if I may. Their skills and interests fit the profile of a Senator more than Alex’s do.

There is a crowded bench already. Alex would have to compete with the likes of Dan Gelber and Chris Korge, maybe Allen Boyd, or even Bob Wexler. Those are some serious players, who could all represent the state well and some will run if she gets in or not. Alex could win the primary and the general, but why go for Senate to when the bench is already so deep, so good.

Winning the senate seat back is going to be tougher than we imagine. Sure, it looks a lot easier than beating Charlie does, but we’re two years out from the election- things change. Charlie should start to look more like a do-nothing, and Mel Martinez might decide to gracefully bow out, leaving the Republicans to nominate someone who could give us more of a challenge. In short, get excited about another Democratic senator, but don’t bet money on it just yet.

While there’s a crowded bench for Senate, there is literally no bench for governor- outside Alex Sink. If Democrats want to stop losing the state, then we can’t cede races like the 2010 gubernatorial. We need to not only nominate a candidate, but we need to nominate a good one. Right now, no other Democrat is really dipping the proverbial toe in the water- no one, not even Rod Smith.

And, there’s my peace.

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The 2010 Senate race is shaping up to be a bit of a crowded field. Chris Korge, fundraiser extraordinaire, has already announced he’s going to run. Dan Gelber, newly minted State Senator, is also expected to run. Then, there’s Allen Boyd, a true Blue Dawg from North Florida. And, no I’m not going to get into Alex Sink in this contest- she should run for governor. gelberheadshotchriskorgeheadshotboydheadshot

So, the question becomes who wins the primary? Who can win the general? Everyone expects this to be a cakewalk against Mel Martinez, but if I may, I beg to throw a few questions your way.

Traditionally, south Florida dems cannot win statewide. It’s been the prevailing logic for, perhaps, too long. Which, arguably, makes things a bit more difficult for  Gelber and Korge, both from the Miami area and with both of them in the race, splitting the democratic vote there.

But, with democratic registration growth and shifts in the population overall, will geography be the king-maker in 2010?

Boyd put a poll in the field earlier this week. It included all the usual questions for a potential senate candidate, but also this as brought to us by the Orlando Sentinel:

Oddly enough, the survey also included a few questions about whether voters wanted a Florida politician who did not hail from the southern part of the state. Perhaps Boyd already is considering a strategy that would distance himself from Miami Democrats to bolster his conservative Democrat image.

I think its safe to say that Dan Gelber and Chris Korge would both be phenomenal candidates and Senators. But, can they convey their message enough to win in North Florida? Do they need to win in North Florida? We’ve done a lot of pieces here that makes the argument for needing to at least not get cremed in conservative counties, that candidates need to make dents in those areas because you can never win big enough in South Florida to make up for embarassing defeats in the rest of the state.

If Korge or Gelber- or any other candidate not out of the Boyd mold-  wins the primary, it will be very interesting and definitely an uphill battle for them in the general election.  But, by successfully breaking out of the South Florida stereotype, their victory would mark a new direction for Florida Democrats.

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Alex Sink is busy, and that means a lot of news, so here is the first of many Alex Sink updates:

The Miami Hearld, Palm Beach Post, Fort Myers News-Press, Sun Sentinel, and Orlando Sentinel all covered Alex Sink’s press conference calling for a Special Session on the budget yesterday.

The Tallahassee Democrat quotes Alex Sink putting the Florida budget and economy in perspective:

Let’s make it real for Floridians. I think every Florida family is sitting around their kitchen table thinking, Do we need to cut back? What do we need to cut back on? What happens if one of us loses our job?

Adam Smith at the the Buzz notes that an Alex Sink’s facebook page was updated to say she was running for Governor. It wasn’t Alex Sink, says her spokesperson and it wasn’t us — the movement grows.

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Alex Sink has said she’ll decide about her political future in January – but in September of this year there was a flurry of activity on domains like: AlexSink2010.om, AlexSinkforGovernor.com, AlexSinkforFlorida.com and her old campaign domain AlexSinkforCFO.com.  While we can’t be sure what this means or who did it – it looks like it was done by the same person.

All of the domains are registered privately at GoDaddy.com and they were all registered or updated from September 25 to September 30 – including the domain that Alex Sink used in 2006 in her race for CFO. Here is what is public information:

•    On August 30, 2005: AlexinkSinkforCFO.com and AlexSinkforFlorida.com were registered. Alex Sink used the CFO domain for her campaign website.

•    On September 24, 2008: AlexSinkforFlorida.com’s registration was updated.

•    On, September 25, 2008: AlexSink2010.com and AlexSinkforGovernor.com were registered privately through GoDaddy.com like AlexSinkfoCFO.com.

•    On September 30, 2008: AlexSinkforCFO.com’ registration was updated.

While we can’t know who registered the other domains – it would be a very odd coincidence if they were registered and updated by different people on the same site.

This could be is another sign that Alex Sink is looking to run Governor in 2010 – and there is no question Florida needs her more than ever.

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From this morning’s Tampa Tribune

It’s very encouraging – it shows a good candidate with a good campaign and organization can win statewide,” she [Alex Sink] said, when asked if Obama’s win will affect her decision.

sinkwithschalewalkereday1

The Obama win in Florida certainly bolsters the party’s efforts here in the state, and like Alex says, will encourage strong Democratic candidates to run in tough races.

The general premise of the article is that although Obama won in Florida, it was due to his strong campaign in the state, rather than a strong party operation, meaning that the aftereffects will be small.

But,  if you’re looking for another reason for Alex Sink- or any D to run for governor in 2010- DraftAlex has one word for you: redistricting. The Republican legislature drew the seats after the 2000 census- and created those seats to protect their majority. But, there’s another census in 2010- an opportunity to create districts that are more fair with serious potential to cut into Republican protected seats.Dan Gelber– a favorite here on DraftAlex makes that point,

We need a Democratic governor who can veto reapportionment plans, or we’re out of luck until 2020.”

Also, for a truly amazing take on the Obama campaign in Florida- their strategy as well as what it was like to be one of them in the last days before the election- check out this story in the Miami Herald.

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